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Prediction for CME (2025-06-06T11:12:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2025-06-06T11:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39307/-1 CME Note: Faint and wide CME to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2. Source is an eruption centered near N12E37 starting around 2025-06-06T10:50Z, as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 and GOES SUVI 284 imagery. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-06-08T21:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 7.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M) Prediction Method Note: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/39310/1 Model Inputs: 2025-06-06T11:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=25.0, Speed=758.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2025-06-06T15:40Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-06-08T21:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=5 (kp)180=7 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-06-08T01:47Z Mars with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-06-09T22:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250606_154000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gifLead Time: 50.20 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Mattie Anastopulos (M2M SWAO) on 2025-06-06T18:48Z |
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